The Capricorn Figure (A Study in Subjective Probability)

Submitted by ciuboda on 7 April, 2008 - 22:01.

" Each new astrological age may be accompanied by a major religious innovation inaugurated by a pair of individuals with opposite signs that match those for that age. [1]  For example, at the start of the Aries age the Libra/Aries combination (Abraham/Isaac) saw the birth of Judaism, at the start of the Piscean age the Virgo/Pisces combination (Mary/Christ) saw the birth of Christianity, and, as the theory and evidence go, the Leo/Aquarius age has or will see the extension of these religions. The purpose of this paper will be to make some informed speculation on the Cancer/Capricorn pair whose age begins somewhere in the interval c.3900 to 4400 AD. [2]  It could be argued that speculating on a future astrological event is meaningless. It is well known that such events are revealed through interpretation of the stars rather than directly as in true prophecy. But just as there is noise and error in astrological prediction, is not there massive confusion in forecasting and verifying the fulfillment of prophecy, irrespective of false prophecy? How many times have the rabbis failed with their messianic crystal balls? Since the interpretation and forecasting of history is open to probabilities, it still may be useful on the basis of personal opinion to describe hunches, information and beliefs one may be willing to bet with certain odds. "Probability models are also useful in describing an individual's belief about an unknown state of affairs or about a phenomenon yet to take place, even when these are hard to conceive of as repeatable experiments". [3]  As we shall see, in the case of Cancer/Capricorn, we shall use logical deduction and some scraps of evidence to hopefully say something meaningful."

Author: 
David A. Pardo
Article Link: 
The Capricorn Figure (A Study in Subjective Probability)
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